Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.533654 12.924264 14.511273 16.478334 18.882466 21.768168 25.562525
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.496298 11.107177 13.076508 15.719839 19.272621 24.041131 31.235537
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.472820 10.209979 12.440198 15.616602 20.216777 26.997251 38.594562
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.700583 9.484929 11.861004 15.403868 20.853002 29.551002 46.244449
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.159164 8.982641 11.487942 15.377148 21.696199 32.581429 56.101436
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.779225 8.650072 11.295421 15.561121 22.872500 36.487109 70.017874
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.307866 8.140372 10.782736 15.157693 22.948499 38.322698 80.375803
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.996955 7.832088 10.533833 15.136665 23.687719 41.727241 97.907156
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.612548 7.385830 10.031450 14.622961 23.395825 42.770813 109.151668
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.224465 6.909335 9.445120 13.900490 22.575719 42.349927 114.954871
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.908333 6.523240 8.974941 13.336001 21.991895 42.376715 123.035586
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.014279 6.782568 9.552821 14.709327 25.714150 55.221879 218.742828
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.938872 6.766633 9.696897 15.340859 28.090100 66.220981 366.135648
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.647298 6.391506 9.207247 14.687320 27.287192 66.334159 416.890313
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.474361 6.196446 9.011776 14.596865 27.869398 71.915858 600.273220
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.300285 5.989450 8.779955 14.405111 28.154538 76.638452 868.012361
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.165787 5.839472 8.637221 14.381008 28.887751 83.944321 1523.087783
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.068985 5.745913 8.587489 14.547086 30.198628 95.338652 4168.780601
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.905354 5.532875 8.307494 14.182769 29.891132 98.206309 8269.972647
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.799550 5.412074 8.188871 14.163766 30.629835 107.996189 124830.599244
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.642188 5.197437 7.884787 13.699098 29.892092 108.114004 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.468630 4.949603 7.508448 13.044170 28.458303 102.879561 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.321953 4.743296 7.202020 12.531275 27.424885 100.037153 NaN